Turtle Soup.

Spending the day idly trading stocks and pulling in millions of dollars really is the way to go. That is the main reason books like this are compelling. Unfortunately, as you read through this book, you come away with a sense that either this guy is a genius, or just really lucky. There is no way that an average shotgun investor who only places trades after hours and can look at his selections for just minutes a day could pull this off. Interesting stuff nonetheless.

Covel begins with a saying from Benjamin Graham, a guru of value investing, that analysts and fund managers cannot beat the market because they are the market. Essentially, when people trade frequently in the market it is a zero-sum game, or nearly so. For every winner, there is a loser. The person who makes the money, in general takes it away from people who lose money. For long term investors this is not the case, but the explanation is a bit to in depth for this post.

This is the story of how Richard Dennis, a wealthy commodities trader, placed an ad in a newspaper and recruited "normal" individuals and taught them how to make millions by trading in methodical ways. Very similar to the movie Trading Places, he began this experiment as a bet to see if anyone could be a trader. The old nature versus nurture.

He educated the turtles, and gave them his own money to trade with. They did well as a group, and made millions. They were is essence momentum traders, which is the subject of book also by Covel. I don't believe this books leads to a particular stock, so there won't be a purchase with this one. Very good story though. Top notch. And Dan Aykroyd and Eddie Murphy were great in Trading Places. If you like early 80's comedies, this one is for you.

Small book, big results (hopefully)!

The Little Book that Makes You Rich is a another of the "Little Book" series that supposes an easy way to make a killing in the market. It does not get any easier. Navellier makes investing seem like a spectator sport. All you do is go to his handy web site where he has constructed a grading scale for stocks.

In the book, he describes his ranking of stocks on eight different measures, all of them growth related. I'll list them so you do not have to read the book.

Positive earnings revisions
Positive earnings surprises
Increased sales growth
Expanding operating margins
Strong cash flow
Earnings growth
Eearnings momentum
High retun on equity

They are tabulated to come up with an overall fundamental and quantitative weighted grade. If the stock is an A, then you buy it. If it is an F, you sell. It is that easy. So, how do my stocks rate thus far? Let's go to the site. Of course, they don't rank the ETFs that I purchased, but of all the others, ASR, ICFI, and WFR are graded as "A," SAM is a "B," STMP is a "C," and WAG is a dog graded at a "D."

There is not a lot of other material in the book, so I don't recommend it overall. He states how he originally came up with the formula and gives some theoretical reasons why it should work. He does have a good discussion of Beta, the volatility of a stock compared to the overall market, and Alpha, the return of a particular stock above or below the overall market. Not to much info that is new. One would want to diversify holdings to keep beta low, and pick stocks that have a high alpha to increase returns. Unfortunately, alpha is how a stock has done in the past, so may not hold true in the future.

Now, which to buy? Very easy, he rates each stock on his site, so I will pick the recommended Marine company TBSI, which has a overall grade of A on both the fundamental and quantitative scales.

Ugh.

Well, this has been a bad week for the shotgun investor. However, it was much worse for the stock market as a whole. My recent purchase of the QID ETF even eeked out a gain. Unfortunately, the rest of my picks matched the overall market, and I essentially have been riding the market down. I will regroup and finish a new book with a new investment choice as soon as time permits.




I have decided to hold on to each stock for three months, then to cut losses or lock in gains.